📰 DATA MODEL REPORT – 21.02.2026

📊 DAILY OVERVIEW

• Total Matches Analyzed: 36

• Qualified Bets: 12

• No Bet (Market Efficient): 24

• Model Calibration: 0.93

• Minimum Confidence Threshold: 65%

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🔝 TOP 5 PLAYS OF THE DAY (Ranked by Confidence)

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🥇 1) Atlético Madrid vs Espanyol

Market: Under 2.5
Confidence: 78%
True Probability: 73%
Implied Probability: 51%
Edge: +22%
Category: Elite

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🥈 2) Osasuna vs Real Madrid

Market: Away Win
Confidence: 74%
True Probability: 69%
Implied Probability: 59%
Edge: +10%
Category: Elite

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🥉 3) Club Brugge vs Leuven

Market: Home Win
Confidence: 74%
True Probability: 69%
Implied Probability: 54%
Edge: +15%
Category: Elite

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4️⃣ Braga vs Guimarães

Market: Over 2.5
Confidence: 70%
True Probability: 65%
Implied Probability: 50%
Edge: +15%
Category: Elite

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5️⃣ Juventus vs Como

Market: Home Win
Confidence: 69%
True Probability: 64%
Implied Probability: 50%
Edge: +14%
Category: Elite

Match	Market	Conf	True %	Edge	Category
Olympiakos vs Panaitolikos	Over 2.5	82%	76%	+7%	High
Moreirense vs Sporting	Over 2.5	72%	67%	+7%	High
Benfica vs AVS	Over 2.5	86%	80%	+5%	High
Braga vs Guimarães	Over 2.5	70%	65%	+15%	Elite
Real Sociedad vs Oviedo	Home Win	73%	68%	+1%	Medium
Osasuna vs Real Madrid	Away Win	74%	69%	+10%	Elite
Atlético vs Espanyol	Under 2.5	78%	73%	+22%	Elite
Union Berlin vs Leverkusen	BTTS Yes	68%	63%	+4%	Medium
Club Brugge vs Leuven	Home Win	74%	69%	+15%	Elite
Aston Villa vs Leeds	BTTS Yes	65%	60%	+1%	Medium
Manchester City vs Newcastle	Over 2.5	78%	73%	+4%	High
Juventus vs Como	Home Win	69%	64%	+14%	Elite

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